Ballyclare Comrades vs Newry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballyclare Comrades
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
HAR
3 - 1
BAL
56%
22%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 1
NEY
71%
17%
13%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 1
BAL
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 4
LIM
41%
24%
35%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
ARC
1 - 2
BAL
41%
25%
35%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
CAR
4 - 3
NEW
75%
17%
9%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 1
ARC
25%
25%
51%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 1
NEW
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
NEW
0 - 2
INS
22%
24%
54%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ARD
0 - 1
NEW
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +2 |