Ballyclare Comrades vs Lurgan Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballyclare Comrades
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
HAR
0 - 1
BAL
44%
25%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
BAL
2 - 4
INS
38%
24%
39%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
BAL
5 - 1
DER
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
LAR
2 - 3
BAL
52%
22%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
LOU
2 - 1
BAL
33%
22%
45%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lurgan Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
LCE
4 - 3
INS
34%
24%
42%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
HAR
1 - 0
LCE
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
KNO
4 - 2
LCE
46%
24%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
LCE
3 - 1
AUN
80%
13%
7%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
LCE
2 - 6
WAR
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |