Ballyclare Comrades vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
46.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballyclare Comrades
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
LIS
2 - 6
BAL
47%
23%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
BAL
0 - 2
LAR
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
AUN
1 - 3
BAL
52%
22%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
KNO
2 - 1
BAL
61%
19%
19%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 2
DER
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 1
CRU
18%
23%
59%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2015 |
INS
1 - 2
DUN
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
COL
1 - 2
DUN
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
DUN
4 - 2
BAL
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
GLE
2 - 1
DUN
76%
15%
9%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |