Ballinamallard United vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
63.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
LOU
1 - 2
BAL
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
BAL
0 - 1
NEW
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
HAR
0 - 2
BAL
38%
27%
36%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
BAL
5 - 0
BAL
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
BAL
1 - 1
ARD
52%
24%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
LIN
1 - 0
GLE
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
CLI
0 - 1
LIN
31%
26%
43%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2019 |
QAR
2 - 1
LIN
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2019 |
LIN
3 - 2
QAR
42%
26%
33%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
LIN
2 - 4
COL
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |