Ballinamallard United vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
5º
10º
8º
34
5º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
LOU
3 - 0
BAL
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 3
AUN
33%
25%
42%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
KNO
1 - 2
BAL
25%
23%
53%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
HAR
0 - 1
BAL
34%
25%
42%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BAL
4 - 1
ARD
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
INS
2 - 0
ARD
31%
24%
46%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
WAR
2 - 0
INS
62%
20%
19%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LOU
1 - 0
INS
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
INS
2 - 0
BAL
36%
24%
40%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
DER
0 - 3
INS
54%
23%
24%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |