Ballinamallard United vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
65.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
LIN
2 - 1
BAL
76%
17%
8%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
GLE
1 - 0
BAL
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
BAL
52%
24%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 0
GLE
19%
24%
57%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
DUN
2 - 0
BAL
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CRU
2 - 0
DUN
75%
16%
9%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 3
CRU
16%
22%
62%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 4
CRU
11%
20%
69%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | -7 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CRU
0 - 0
BAL
87%
10%
3%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 3
CRU
16%
20%
65%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | +8 |