Ballinamallard United vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
55.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
BAL
2 - 2
ARD
32%
25%
43%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
HAR
4 - 0
BAL
63%
20%
17%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
BRF
1 - 2
BAL
39%
22%
39%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
LIM
2 - 1
BAL
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 1
NEW
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
GLE
2 - 1
CAR
48%
24%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CAR
0 - 0
BAL
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
LIN
3 - 0
CAR
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
CAR
4 - 3
NEW
75%
17%
9%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 0
CRU
32%
26%
42%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |