Ballinamallard United vs Carrick Rangers analysis

Ballinamallard United Carrick Rangers
45 ELO 47
15.2% Tilt -0.2%
3521º General ELO ranking 2609º
21º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
50.9%
Ballinamallard United
22.4%
Draw
26.6%
Carrick Rangers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
Ballinamallard United
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
26.6%
Win probability
Carrick Rangers
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ballinamallard United
-22%
-26%
Carrick Rangers

ELO progression

Ballinamallard United
Carrick Rangers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ballinamallard United
Ballinamallard United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2018
HAR
Harland & Wolff Welders
2 - 0
Ballinamallard United
BAL
60%
22%
18%
46 52 6 0
15 Sep. 2018
BAL
Ballinamallard United
0 - 1
Knockbreda
KNO
57%
21%
22%
47 46 1 -1
07 Sep. 2018
BAL
Ballyclare Comrades
2 - 0
Ballinamallard United
BAL
54%
23%
23%
48 50 2 -1
01 Sep. 2018
BAL
Ballinamallard United
1 - 2
Portadown
POR
37%
25%
38%
49 56 7 -1
28 Aug. 2018
BAL
Ballinamallard United
4 - 1
Lurgan Celtic
LCE
76%
15%
9%
48 30 18 +1

Matches

Carrick Rangers
Carrick Rangers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2018
CAR
Carrick Rangers
2 - 0
Ballyclare Comrades
BAL
27%
24%
49%
45 52 7 0
15 Sep. 2018
PSN
PSNI
2 - 0
Carrick Rangers
CAR
50%
23%
27%
46 46 0 -1
07 Sep. 2018
CAR
Carrick Rangers
1 - 0
Dergview FC
DER
32%
25%
44%
45 50 5 +1
31 Aug. 2018
LIM
Limavady
2 - 1
Carrick Rangers
CAR
41%
24%
35%
45 42 3 0
28 Aug. 2018
CAR
Carrick Rangers
6 - 0
Sport & Leisure
SYL
56%
22%
22%
45 38 7 0