Ballinamallard United vs Ards Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.1%
5.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
BAL
5 - 0
QUB
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2021 |
DER
2 - 0
BAL
23%
24%
54%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
INS
1 - 2
BAL
16%
21%
63%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
BAL
3 - 1
KNO
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
BAL
1 - 1
ARD
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ards Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
LOU
2 - 1
ARF
86%
10%
4%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
ARF
4 - 1
CSF
12%
17%
71%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | +6 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
BRF
3 - 2
ARF
13%
16%
72%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
BAL
1 - 2
ARF
83%
12%
5%
|
16 | 47 | 31 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
SYL
3 - 2
ARF
80%
12%
8%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | 0 |