Ballinamallard United vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
47.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
DUN
2 - 0
BAL
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 5
COL
15%
24%
61%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
GLE
2 - 1
BAL
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
BAL
3 - 2
BAL
85%
11%
5%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
BAL
6 - 4
CLI
11%
21%
69%
|
43 | 68 | 25 | +3 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2018 |
ARD
1 - 0
BAL
28%
25%
48%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
ARD
0 - 3
LIN
21%
24%
56%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
GLE
1 - 2
ARD
52%
26%
22%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2018 |
ARD
1 - 6
GLE
17%
21%
61%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
ARD
0 - 4
CAR
68%
19%
14%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |