Ballinamallard United vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
LIN
6 - 0
BAL
75%
17%
8%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 2
CRU
14%
22%
63%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
COL
1 - 1
BAL
66%
19%
15%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 0
SAF
79%
15%
7%
|
51 | 23 | 28 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 2
GLE
32%
25%
44%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
ARD
2 - 1
GLE
15%
23%
62%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2014 |
GLE
3 - 1
ARD
78%
14%
9%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
LIN
3 - 3
ARD
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
ARC
3 - 1
ARD
53%
22%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
ARD
1 - 3
DUN
38%
26%
37%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |