Ballard vs Project 51O analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
19%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
WSJ
0 - 2
BFC
10%
15%
75%
|
48 | 17 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 0
UPD
72%
17%
12%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 1
LAN
77%
14%
8%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
BFC
2 - 2
ATL
72%
16%
12%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
MIU
1 - 2
BFC
9%
14%
77%
|
47 | 15 | 32 | +1 |
Matches
Project 51O
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PRO
4 - 0
MFC
69%
17%
14%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
PRO
4 - 3
FRA
70%
17%
14%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
PRO
2 - 1
MON
28%
24%
49%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +2 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 2
PRO
34%
22%
45%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
PRO
3 - 1
GSC
29%
24%
47%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +3 |