Balkany Zorya vs Illichivets II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
9.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balkany Zorya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
ENK
1 - 2
BAL
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 1
RPH
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
TIF
3 - 1
BAL
39%
26%
36%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
BAL
4 - 2
ABT
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
IHP
3 - 1
BAL
40%
25%
35%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Illichivets II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
ILL
4 - 0
SMY
45%
24%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ENK
3 - 0
ILL
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ILL
3 - 1
RPH
18%
26%
57%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
TIF
0 - 1
ILL
74%
16%
9%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
ILL
4 - 2
ABT
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |