Nebitçi vs Merw analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nebitçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2020 |
BFT
1 - 1
AGA
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2020 |
EFT
5 - 1
BFT
43%
24%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2020 |
BFT
2 - 1
KAS
30%
27%
44%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2020 |
AGA
3 - 0
BFT
57%
24%
19%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2020 |
BFT
1 - 2
AHA
14%
24%
62%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2020 |
MER
1 - 2
AGA
26%
27%
47%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2020 |
AGA
1 - 1
MER
57%
24%
19%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2020 |
MER
3 - 0
AHA
11%
22%
66%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2020 |
EFT
1 - 2
MER
59%
23%
19%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2020 |
MER
0 - 4
ALT
8%
18%
74%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | -1 |