Balkan Botevgrad vs Septemvri Sofia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
29.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
4º
13º
9º
26
1º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
7º
|
57% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
57% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
57% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
73% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 15 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
7 | 10 |
18º
|
91% | |
|
19º
|
6 | 6 |
19º
|
91% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balkan Botevgrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
BAL
4 - 1
LSO
50%
21%
29%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
FPB
1 - 0
BAL
17%
18%
65%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 1
SEP
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CSK
3 - 2
BAL
22%
19%
59%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 1
SSO
45%
21%
34%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Septemvri Sofia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 2
SSO
58%
19%
23%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SEP
3 - 0
SSO
32%
23%
45%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
SSO
0 - 2
SSO
59%
19%
22%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SSO
0 - 1
CSK
72%
16%
12%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SSO
0 - 5
PIR
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -2 |