Balkan Botevgrad vs Ludogorets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.3%
13%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
81.5%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23%
0-3
12.9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
17.8%
0-4
8.3%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
10.7%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balkan Botevgrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
FKM
3 - 1
BAL
70%
19%
11%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 3
SSO
53%
22%
25%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
PIR
3 - 0
BAL
7%
16%
76%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | -3 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
SLI
1 - 3
BAL
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 1
SOF
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ETA
0 - 4
LUD
17%
23%
60%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
LUD
2 - 0
FEN
32%
24%
43%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
LUD
1 - 0
FLK
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
SSO
0 - 2
LUD
29%
26%
45%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
LUD
3 - 1
HEB
74%
16%
9%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |