TSG Balingen vs VfR Aalen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
13%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
3º
2º
34
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 88 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 76 |
2º
|
90.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 65 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 61 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 58 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 57 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 50 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 49 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 44 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 43 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 39 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 35 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 35 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 34 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
53.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 20 |
18º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
90.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
7% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSG Balingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
SVF
0 - 7
BAL
19%
21%
60%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BAL
3 - 0
PFO
61%
20%
19%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FCV
2 - 6
BAL
18%
21%
61%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BAL
7 - 0
VFR
72%
17%
12%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
RAV
1 - 3
BAL
14%
20%
67%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
VFR
1 - 1
FSV
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
OBE
2 - 0
VFR
30%
25%
46%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SVF
2 - 1
VFR
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
VFR
1 - 1
PFO
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
NOT
0 - 3
VFR
51%
23%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +2 |