TSG Balingen vs Normannia Gmünd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
10.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
3º
1º
12
7º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
27 | 80 |
1º
|
65% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 75 |
2º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 65 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 63 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 62 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 56 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 51 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 50 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 43 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 42 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 39 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 39 |
12º
|
6.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 37 |
13º
|
5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 35 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 34 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 34 |
16º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
6 | 31 |
17º
|
16.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 26 |
18º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
65% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
20.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
14.5% | 90.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 9.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSG Balingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
NOT
1 - 2
BAL
47%
22%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
BAL
4 - 1
REU
74%
16%
11%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BIS
1 - 3
BAL
19%
22%
59%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 1
LEI
82%
11%
7%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 1
FRE
24%
22%
54%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Normannia Gmünd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 1
FSV
42%
23%
35%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
VFR
3 - 0
NOR
64%
20%
15%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
3 - 0
SVF
46%
22%
32%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
PFO
3 - 2
NOR
71%
18%
12%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
HEI
4 - 0
NOR
95%
4%
1%
|
32 | 85 | 53 | -1 |