TSG Balingen vs CfR Pforzheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
19.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
3º
1º
18
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
27 | 80 |
1º
|
65% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 75 |
2º
|
50% | |
|
|
3º
|
18 | 65 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 63 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 62 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 56 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 51 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 50 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 43 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 42 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 39 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 39 |
12º
|
6.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 37 |
13º
|
5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 35 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 34 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 34 |
16º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
6 | 31 |
17º
|
16.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 26 |
18º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
65% | 1.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
20.5% | 10% |
|
Mid-table
|
14.5% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSG Balingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BAL
7 - 0
VFR
72%
17%
12%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
RAV
1 - 3
BAL
14%
20%
67%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TSB
1 - 2
BAL
13%
19%
68%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
TSV
0 - 1
BAL
17%
21%
62%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 1
NOR
73%
16%
11%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CfR Pforzheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
VFR
1 - 1
PFO
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
PFO
2 - 0
SVF
69%
18%
14%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
OBE
2 - 0
PFO
19%
23%
59%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
FCV
0 - 3
PFO
25%
24%
52%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PFO
1 - 1
VFR
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |