TSG Balingen vs CfR Pforzheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
19.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
3º
2º
34
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 88 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 76 |
2º
|
90.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 65 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 61 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 58 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 57 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 50 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 49 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 44 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 43 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 39 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 35 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 35 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 34 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
53.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 20 |
18º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
90.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
7% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSG Balingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FCV
2 - 6
BAL
18%
21%
61%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BAL
7 - 0
VFR
72%
17%
12%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
RAV
1 - 3
BAL
14%
20%
67%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TSB
1 - 2
BAL
13%
19%
68%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
TSV
0 - 1
BAL
17%
21%
62%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
CfR Pforzheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
PFO
5 - 0
FSV
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
VFR
1 - 1
PFO
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
PFO
2 - 0
SVF
69%
18%
14%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
OBE
2 - 0
PFO
19%
23%
59%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
FCV
0 - 3
PFO
25%
24%
52%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | +1 |