Balikesirspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
23.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+95%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
5º
13º
8º
43
3º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balikesirspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
AFK
2 - 1
BAL
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
BAL
4 - 1
SGS
45%
24%
31%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ANK
0 - 0
BAL
36%
27%
38%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 1
SUL
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SIO
0 - 1
BAL
35%
27%
37%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
TBP
1 - 0
BER
44%
26%
30%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
SIV
6 - 1
TBP
90%
8%
2%
|
38 | 82 | 44 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
AFK
2 - 1
TBP
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
TBP
0 - 0
SGS
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ANK
1 - 1
TBP
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |