Balikesirspor vs Muğlaspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
8º
1º
31
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
36 | 59 |
1º
|
45.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 59 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 54 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 48 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 46 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 46 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 44 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 40 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 38 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 36 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 32 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 28 |
14º
|
30.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 24 |
15º
|
37.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 21 |
16º
|
63% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
45.5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
30% | 5% |
|
Next round
|
24.5% | 61.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 33% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balikesirspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SIL
1 - 2
BAL
48%
26%
26%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 1
KEL
74%
17%
10%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
USA
0 - 2
BAL
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
BAL
4 - 1
FAT
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
BER
2 - 1
BAL
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Muğlaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MUL
0 - 0
SEK
15%
25%
60%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TIR
0 - 0
MUL
11%
16%
73%
|
36 | 7 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MUL
2 - 0
CAY
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
YAS
1 - 2
MUL
52%
24%
24%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
KST
2 - 2
MUL
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |