Balerna vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
54.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balerna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
FCS
2 - 0
BAL
77%
15%
8%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
BAL
4 - 0
EMM
14%
20%
66%
|
10 | 28 | 18 | +5 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
BAL
1 - 0
IBA
12%
19%
69%
|
8 | 24 | 16 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
TAV
2 - 1
BAL
84%
11%
4%
|
8 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
BAL
1 - 3
FCA
13%
19%
68%
|
8 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
HER
1 - 3
FCM
36%
24%
40%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
HER
0 - 1
AAR
29%
23%
48%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
HER
3 - 3
LUZ
54%
22%
25%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
LSS
4 - 1
HER
58%
21%
21%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
FCS
2 - 1
HER
48%
24%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |