Balcatta vs Western Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
47.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
5º
11º
9º
29
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balcatta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
PEG
3 - 4
BAL
59%
20%
21%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 3
PRS
22%
23%
55%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
FRC
0 - 1
BAL
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 2
BAY
23%
21%
56%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 0
BAL
71%
16%
13%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Western Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
FLO
4 - 2
WES
56%
20%
25%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
WES
1 - 1
ING
76%
14%
11%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
PER
2 - 1
WES
39%
22%
39%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
STI
1 - 0
WES
43%
22%
35%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
PEG
2 - 5
WES
38%
21%
41%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +2 |