Balcatta vs Perth Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
55.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
5º
11º
9º
46
2º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balcatta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
FRC
0 - 1
BAL
65%
18%
17%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 2
BAY
23%
21%
56%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 0
BAL
71%
16%
13%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 0
ARM
21%
20%
59%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +3 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 3
STI
28%
22%
50%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Perth Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
FLO
3 - 4
PRS
37%
25%
39%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
PRS
2 - 0
ING
79%
13%
8%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
PER
1 - 4
PRS
27%
22%
51%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
PRS
2 - 1
WES
65%
17%
18%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
PEG
0 - 1
PRS
29%
21%
50%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +2 |