Balcatta vs Perth Glory II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
47.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-80%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
5º
11º
9º
14
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balcatta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
PRS
2 - 1
BAL
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 2
FRC
68%
17%
15%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BAL
3 - 1
WES
35%
22%
43%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 0
COC
42%
23%
35%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 1
ARM
32%
22%
46%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Perth Glory II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
PEG
1 - 1
FLO
39%
22%
39%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ING
0 - 1
PEG
44%
23%
33%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FLO
2 - 2
PEG
61%
19%
20%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
PEG
0 - 0
PRS
24%
20%
56%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
COC
1 - 4
PEG
42%
23%
35%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |