Balcatta vs Perth Glory II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
47.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balcatta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
BAL
2 - 2
ING
22%
21%
57%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ROC
0 - 3
BAL
44%
22%
34%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
BAL
2 - 2
SOR
21%
20%
59%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ECU
4 - 1
BAL
78%
14%
9%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
BAL
1 - 2
ARM
31%
22%
47%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Perth Glory II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
PEG
2 - 0
ROC
81%
12%
7%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SOR
1 - 0
PEG
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
PEG
3 - 0
ECU
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
PEG
1 - 1
ARM
58%
20%
22%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
PEG
5 - 0
GWE
39%
22%
40%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +2 |