Balcatta vs Cockburn City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
35.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
10º
7º
24
5º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balcatta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 1
ARM
32%
22%
46%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
PRS
1 - 0
BAL
84%
11%
6%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
BAY
4 - 3
BAL
70%
17%
13%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 3
SOR
21%
20%
58%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 1
PER
28%
22%
50%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cockburn City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ING
1 - 0
COC
58%
21%
21%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
COC
1 - 4
PEG
42%
23%
35%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
COC
0 - 0
OLY
36%
22%
42%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
COC
1 - 3
FLO
28%
22%
50%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
COC
1 - 0
STI
23%
21%
56%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +2 |