Balaguer vs Guineueta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balaguer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 0
FCM
43%
24%
33%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TPE
0 - 0
BAL
32%
23%
45%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
BAL
51%
22%
27%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 6
BAL
47%
23%
30%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
PAN
2 - 3
BAL
8%
15%
77%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Guineueta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 1
TPE
56%
22%
23%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 2
GUI
67%
19%
14%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
TAR
0 - 3
GUI
28%
24%
48%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
GUI
1 - 0
SMA
60%
20%
20%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
PIR
1 - 0
GUI
18%
22%
61%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | -1 |