Balaguer vs At. Alpicat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
18.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balaguer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
TPE
0 - 2
BAL
54%
21%
25%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 2
CEA
33%
22%
45%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
FCM
1 - 0
BAL
26%
23%
51%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 1
SAB
27%
23%
51%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MOL
2 - 2
BAL
82%
12%
7%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
At. Alpicat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ALP
0 - 2
UNI
34%
24%
42%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
UAH
1 - 1
ALP
64%
19%
17%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ALP
1 - 2
TAR
56%
22%
22%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SMA
1 - 0
ALP
58%
20%
22%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ALP
0 - 1
PIR
56%
21%
23%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |