Balagne vs USM Saran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
10.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
4º
1º
24
4º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 1
BAL
33%
22%
45%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 6
STG
42%
26%
32%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
VTR
0 - 2
BAL
29%
22%
49%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
AJA
0 - 1
BAL
48%
22%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 3
BRE
66%
19%
16%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
USM Saran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 1
BRE
33%
24%
43%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
NEU
1 - 1
SAR
16%
19%
66%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 2
ORL
47%
23%
30%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MAI
1 - 0
SAR
21%
21%
58%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 2
ESA
31%
23%
47%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |