Balagne vs Maur Lusitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
39.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
4º
1º
45
2º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MAR
4 - 2
BAL
49%
21%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 0
SCR
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
LUC
2 - 3
BAL
60%
19%
20%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 0
EUA
56%
21%
24%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 1
BAL
61%
20%
20%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Maur Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SML
1 - 0
BRE
76%
15%
10%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SPI
1 - 1
SML
73%
18%
9%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
SML
1 - 1
FUR
28%
26%
46%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
STG
3 - 0
SML
38%
28%
35%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FLE
3 - 0
SML
65%
22%
13%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |