Balagne vs Gazélec Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
60.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
12º
8º
0
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
89.5% | 89% |
|
Relegation
|
10.5% | 8.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 2
CAS
16%
21%
64%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
IST
0 - 0
BAL
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 1
NIC
29%
22%
50%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 0
BAL
69%
19%
12%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
3 - 0
RSV
23%
21%
57%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +4 |
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
GAZ
4 - 1
IST
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NIC
0 - 1
GAZ
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GAZ
2 - 1
CAN
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
RSV
3 - 3
GAZ
32%
26%
42%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GAZ
1 - 1
AJA
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |