Balagne vs Cannes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
53.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
+61%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
12º
8º
57
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 97.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
89.5% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
10.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
RSV
0 - 0
BAL
63%
18%
19%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 1
AJA
32%
23%
45%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
0 - 1
BAL
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 1
MAR
71%
16%
13%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SCR
1 - 1
BAL
64%
18%
18%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cannes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CAN
0 - 0
IST
74%
18%
8%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
NIC
1 - 3
CAN
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 1
CAN
51%
25%
24%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CAN
2 - 1
RSV
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
1 - 2
CAN
30%
27%
44%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |