Bala Town vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
2º
5º
2º
92
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
92 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 14 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 12 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 1
CAR
47%
27%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
HAV
2 - 3
BAL
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 1
NEW
41%
26%
34%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
COL
2 - 3
BAL
25%
25%
50%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 1
CAR
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
TNS
3 - 0
NEW
63%
19%
18%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
FAL
0 - 1
TNS
40%
23%
37%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -2 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
TNS
5 - 1
SWA
70%
15%
15%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
TNS
3 - 1
NEW
62%
19%
19%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
GUI
0 - 2
TNS
7%
13%
80%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | -2 |