Bala Town vs Pontypridd United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
5.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
CON
53%
24%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 0
PON
79%
14%
7%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2023 |
PON
2 - 1
BAL
12%
21%
66%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
BAL
3 - 0
CAE
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
CAE
1 - 5
BAL
34%
25%
41%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 0
PON
79%
14%
7%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2023 |
PON
2 - 1
BAL
12%
21%
66%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
HAV
1 - 1
PON
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
PON
3 - 2
HAV
26%
24%
50%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
PON
0 - 1
PEN
16%
24%
61%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |