Bala Town vs Pontypridd United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.3%
5.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
BAN
0 - 0
BAL
13%
19%
68%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CON
0 - 1
BAL
42%
26%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BAL
6 - 2
HAV
79%
14%
7%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
BAL
17 - 1
BFC
90%
8%
3%
|
65 | 8 | 57 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
ABE
0 - 1
BAL
29%
25%
46%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 3
PON
21%
21%
58%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
PON
0 - 0
BRI
47%
23%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
SUF
3 - 4
PON
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
PON
6 - 0
PEN
65%
19%
16%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
PON
5 - 1
UND
79%
13%
9%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |