Bala Town vs Paide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
47.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
COL
2 - 0
BAL
24%
22%
54%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
LAR
2 - 1
BAL
58%
21%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
PFC
1 - 1
BAL
4%
11%
85%
|
66 | 8 | 58 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CAE
2 - 2
BAL
39%
25%
36%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
CON
0 - 0
BAL
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
PAI
2 - 2
TRA
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
KUR
0 - 2
PAI
29%
26%
44%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
PAI
0 - 1
PAR
81%
14%
6%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
TAL
2 - 5
PAI
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
FLO
2 - 0
PAI
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |