Bala Town vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
TNS
6 - 0
BAL
60%
19%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
BAL
39%
27%
35%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 2
TNS
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 2
NEW
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 2
CON
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 1
NEW
52%
23%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 2
CAR
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 2
NEW
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 5
TNS
35%
25%
40%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
CON
2 - 0
NEW
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |