Bala Town vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
6º
6º
42
4º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 15 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 9 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 9 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 2
CON
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 2
BAL
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
TNS
2 - 1
BAL
54%
22%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 2
CON
51%
24%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 5
TNS
35%
25%
40%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
CON
2 - 0
NEW
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 1
PEN
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 0
NEW
45%
25%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
NEW
3 - 2
BAL
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |