Bala Town vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BAL
4 - 1
POR
63%
21%
17%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
BAL
3 - 0
AIR
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
TNS
3 - 0
BAL
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
BAL
3 - 3
ABE
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
NEW
1 - 1
BAL
30%
25%
45%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
NEW
2 - 1
RHY
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
TNS
4 - 2
NEW
68%
19%
14%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
NEW
3 - 3
ABE
37%
25%
38%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
NEW
0 - 2
AIR
34%
27%
40%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
BAN
1 - 2
NEW
44%
23%
33%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |