Bala Town vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 1
BAL
36%
26%
39%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 2
TNS
20%
25%
55%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
LID
0 - 1
BAL
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 2
BAN
18%
22%
60%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
NEA
4 - 0
BAL
74%
17%
10%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
NEW
1 - 2
ABE
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
NEW
4 - 2
CAR
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
AIR
3 - 2
NEW
56%
22%
23%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
NEW
2 - 1
LID
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
BAN
4 - 0
NEW
80%
14%
7%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |