Bala Town vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
ABE
1 - 2
BAL
70%
19%
12%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
AIR
1 - 2
BAL
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
CAR
4 - 1
BAL
40%
26%
35%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 2
CAR
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 3
ABE
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
NEW
4 - 4
HAV
48%
24%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
NEW
2 - 2
TNS
13%
22%
66%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
NEW
2 - 3
AIR
38%
26%
37%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 0
LLA
13%
21%
66%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 1
BAN
11%
19%
70%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | 0 |