Bala Town vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
27.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
3º
7º
6º
18
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
15 | 45 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
1º
|
23 | 41 |
2º
|
35.5% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 38 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
|
3º
|
18 | 36 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 35 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
16 | 34 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 33 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 26 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 25 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 22 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 17 |
11º
|
35.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 13 |
12º
|
65.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
59% | 78.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
41% | 21.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 2
BAL
27%
26%
48%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
TNS
2 - 3
BAL
62%
20%
18%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 2
NEW
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 0
HOL
46%
24%
31%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
BAL
3 - 0
ABE
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
HAV
1 - 0
CAR
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
HAV
1 - 1
BAR
58%
24%
19%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
ABE
0 - 3
HAV
26%
27%
48%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 0
HAV
50%
24%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FLI
1 - 0
HAV
37%
26%
36%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |