Bala Town vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
6º
3º
28
6º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 59 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 49 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 46 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 43 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 33 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
92% | 38% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8% | 62% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
CON
1 - 1
BAL
51%
25%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 0
LLA
80%
14%
7%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 1
COL
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 0
BAL
50%
24%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 1
ABE
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
HAV
3 - 2
PEN
25%
27%
48%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
HAV
0 - 0
BDG
80%
13%
6%
|
58 | 19 | 39 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PON
2 - 0
HAV
37%
27%
37%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HAV
3 - 0
ABE
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
HAV
58%
23%
18%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |