Bala Town vs Flint Town United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
2º
8º
6º
6
9º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
12 | 46 |
1º
|
64% | |
|
1º
|
17 | 42 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 37 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 36 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 33 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
|
5º
|
11 | 33 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 31 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 29 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 25 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 24 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 16 |
11º
|
41% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 15 |
12º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
57% | 17% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
43% | 83% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 0
BRI
61%
22%
18%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
BAL
28%
26%
46%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
RTW
0 - 1
BAL
12%
18%
70%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BOO
1 - 1
BAL
10%
17%
73%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 1
BAL
67%
18%
15%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Flint Town United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
FLI
1 - 4
TNS
32%
24%
44%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FLI
1 - 2
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
TNS
5 - 1
FLI
65%
17%
18%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
POR
1 - 7
FLI
7%
13%
80%
|
61 | 27 | 34 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
DEN
1 - 2
FLI
18%
21%
61%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |