Bala Town vs Flint Mountain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
11%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 1
TNS
41%
26%
34%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 1
CAR
47%
27%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
HAV
2 - 3
BAL
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 1
NEW
41%
26%
34%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
COL
2 - 3
BAL
25%
25%
50%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Flint Mountain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
FMC
2 - 1
SGA
67%
18%
15%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FMC
2 - 1
CLC
26%
21%
53%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
FMC
3 - 1
HOL
5%
10%
86%
|
12 | 54 | 42 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
NFA
0 - 3
FMC
19%
18%
63%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
FMC
0 - 4
CAE
3%
9%
88%
|
12 | 59 | 47 | -1 |