Bala Town vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
51.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
BAL
2 - 5
BAR
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
BAL
0 - 7
TNS
11%
19%
69%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
TNS
3 - 1
BAL
80%
13%
7%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 2
BAL
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 0
BAL
49%
23%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 0
CON
28%
25%
47%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 3
CON
34%
24%
42%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
CON
1 - 3
ROS
54%
22%
24%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
CON
2 - 0
NEW
61%
22%
18%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
CON
0 - 2
TNS
37%
24%
39%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |