Bala Town vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
PRE
1 - 2
BAL
27%
24%
49%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
ABE
1 - 2
BAL
16%
20%
63%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
CEF
0 - 5
BAL
21%
22%
57%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
LID
1 - 6
BAL
18%
23%
59%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 0
BAN
37%
25%
38%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CON
3 - 0
LID
66%
18%
16%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
ABE
2 - 1
CON
72%
17%
11%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
POR
1 - 2
CON
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
PRE
34%
23%
44%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
CON
1 - 3
CAR
30%
24%
45%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -2 |