Bala Town vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
RFC
1 - 6
BAL
10%
18%
72%
|
59 | 11 | 48 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
AIR
2 - 1
BAL
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
BAL
0 - 0
ABE
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
BAL
2 - 1
PRE
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
BAL
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
CAE
2 - 1
CON
39%
23%
39%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
CON
0 - 2
POR
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
LID
2 - 1
CON
30%
24%
46%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
RHY
2 - 1
CON
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
CON
0 - 4
NEW
51%
23%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |