Bala Town vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 0
BAL
27%
25%
48%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2019 |
BAL
3 - 0
CAE
45%
24%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 2
BAL
48%
24%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2019 |
CON
2 - 1
BAL
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2019 |
BAL
4 - 0
PEN
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
CEF
2 - 3
PEN
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2019 |
TNS
2 - 1
CEF
84%
12%
5%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
CEF
0 - 5
TNS
11%
17%
73%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
AIR
1 - 1
CEF
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
CEF
2 - 0
CON
25%
27%
48%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +2 |